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Bank of Canada July rate hike may be a mistake, as per CIBC’s Benjamin Tal.

The economy and inflation remain a significant concern for the Bank of Canada, with Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist at CIBC, expressing his views on potential rate hikes. According to Tal, "There’s a real risk that we could hike rates again in July." This sentiment aligns with broader concerns about the economic outlook.


Background and Context

Benjamin Tal’s remarks come at a time when the Bank of Canada is closely monitoring economic indicators such as inflation and employment data. The central bank has been cautious in its approach to monetary policy, signaling that it may hold back rate increases to avoid overheating the economy.


Recessions and Policy Errors

Tal points out that past recessions have often been preceded or worsened by instances of poor monetary policy. He argues that Canada is now approaching such a potential trap, emphasizing the need for prudence in adjusting rates.


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